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Probability of winning and match length in Tiebreak Ten tennis

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Author
O'Donoghue, Peter
Simmonds, Emma
Date
2019-05-26
Acceptance date
2019-05-02
Type
Article
Publisher
Taylor and Francis
ISSN
1474-8185
Metadata
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Abstract
New formats of tennis have been developed to make matches more exciting and unpredictable than the traditional format of the game. The purpose of the current investigation was to compare and the probability of winning between Tiebreak Ten matches and two other formats of the game; Fast4 tennis and traditional tennis. A probabilistic model of winning Tiebreak Ten tennis matches was created and compared with existing models of Fast4 and traditional tennis matches. This analysis was done for a full range of probabilities of players winning points when they are serving. This involved 1000 simulations for each pair of probabilities for two players serving for multiple set matches in Fast4 tennis and traditional tennis. The probability of players beating higher ranked opponents was found to be higher in Tiebreak Ten matches than in Fast4 and traditional tennis matches. This confirms the claim that Tiebreak Ten matches are less predictable and hence more exciting than Fast4 and traditional tennis matches.
Journal/conference proceeding
International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport;
Citation
O'Donoghue, P.G. and Simmonds, E. (2019) 'Probability of winning and match length in Tiebreak Ten tennis', International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 19(3), pp.402-416. DOI: 10.1080/24748668.2019.1615296.
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/10369/10549
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2019.1615296
Description
Article published in International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport on 26 May 2019, available at: https://doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2019.1615296.
Rights
http://www.rioxx.net/licenses/all-rights-reserved
Sponsorship
Cardiff Metropolitan University (Grant ID: Cardiff Metropolian (Internal))
Collections
  • Sport Research Groups [1088]

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