The most important points in Grand Slam singles tennis
Taylor & Francis
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Various mathematical models of tennis have determined the probability of the superior player winning under different scoring systems (for example standard sets and tie-break sets). These models are all based on the assumption of independence (that the probability of winning a point is independent of the score within a game). This paper analysed tennis points played in Grand Slam singles tennis verifying the assumption of independence.
Research Quarterly for Exercise and Sport
O' Donoghue, P. (2001) 'The most important points in grand slam singles tennis', Research Quarterly for Exercise and Sport, 72(2), pp.125-131
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